U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) vs Industrial Production Index (Monthly Change)

How These Two Indicators Relate

Dollar Index sits in the trade category and Industrial Production sits in the growth category, so they describe different parts of the same economy. Watching them together provides cross-checks: a coordinated move in both directions confirms a regime shift, while a divergence often reveals which sector of the economy is leading or lagging.

The two indicators are currently moving in opposite directions. Dollar Index has moved lower -0.10 from the prior reading, while Industrial Production has moved higher +1.0%. Divergent moves on related indicators usually flag a regime shift in progress — one of the two is leading and the other is lagging.

What U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Measures

The U.S. Dollar Index measures the value of the U.S. dollar against a basket of major currencies (euro, yen, pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, Swiss franc). It reflects the dollar's purchasing power in international markets.

The dollar has weakened to 103.0, down from a January peak of 109.4. A weaker dollar is mixed for U.S. businesses: it makes American exports more competitive abroad and boosts the dollar value of foreign earnings (positive for multinationals), but it increases the cost of imported goods and raw materials. For executives at companies with significant international revenue, dollar weakness is generally a tailwind for reported earnings.

Methodology: The DXY is a weighted geometric mean of the dollar's value against six currencies: Euro (57.6%), Japanese Yen (13.6%), British Pound (11.9%), Canadian Dollar (9.1%), Swedish Krona (4.2%), and Swiss Franc (3.6%). It was established in 1973 with a base of 100. The Federal Reserve also publishes broader trade-weighted dollar indices. Source: FRED at the St. Louis Fed (series DTWEXBGS).

What Industrial Production Index (Monthly Change) Measures

The Industrial Production Index measures the real output of manufacturing, mining, and electric and gas utilities. It is a coincident indicator that moves with the business cycle and reflects the goods-producing sector of the economy.

Industrial production fell 0.3% in March after strong February gains. Manufacturing, which accounts for about 75% of the index, has been volatile as companies adjust inventory levels. For executives in manufacturing and industrial sectors, the mixed readings suggest uneven demand rather than a clear downturn. The services sector remains the primary driver of U.S. economic growth.

Methodology: The Federal Reserve Board compiles data from various sources including industry surveys, utility output, and Census Bureau manufacturing reports. The index is set to 100 at a base year (currently 2017) and seasonally adjusted. Capacity utilization is calculated by comparing actual production to estimated maximum sustainable output. Source: FRED at the St. Louis Fed (series INDPRO).

How These Comparisons Are Built

Each pairwise comparison page is statically generated from the live indicator dataset — values, trends, and source links are pre-rendered into HTML at build time. When the underlying dataset refreshes (each indicator on its own publication schedule), the comparison page regenerates automatically. ExecBolt does not estimate, model, or interpolate any reading; every value comes from the publishing agency’s primary release. For the full sourcing approach, citation format, and known limitations, see the methodology page.

For plain-language guides to the concepts behind Dollar Index and Industrial Production, see the learn library. For tools that translate macro readings into business outputs (DCF, runway, break-even), see the calculators page. Authoritative external context comes from the Federal Reserve’s FRED database, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, and the SEC EDGAR system.

Frequently Asked Questions